Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2232.345221 2427.798131 2626.902590 2844.607993 3075.655104 3313.252688 3575.755974
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1904.352830 2191.065118 2495.193818 2840.673207 3221.067462 3625.975516 4088.388967
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1675.602303 2011.873624 2379.533807 2809.013524 3294.531099 3824.011742 4442.656317
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1536.698989 1912.044388 2332.836364 2835.681626 3416.265926 4061.640873 4829.218630
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1408.151057 1810.192600 2271.275772 2833.582680 3495.027249 4242.636773 5145.533503
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1330.031621 1759.579360 2262.088372 2885.752398 3631.110429 4485.482374 5530.606311
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1225.110954 1668.339228 2197.251673 2865.153910 3675.865209 4617.873190 5784.442664
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1174.496257 1639.688479 2204.304647 2927.800379 3817.463345 4862.931595 6170.778662
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1108.176080 1586.510476 2177.057225 2944.875654 3901.201558 5037.474085 6472.946868
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1041.901873 1529.090676 2140.697697 2947.207017 3964.161499 5185.260273 6742.331689
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 942.237803 1422.160701 2036.054212 2858.386301 3909.445360 5186.103460 6830.569120
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 927.297971 1427.254786 2075.142803 2952.416778 4084.102161 5469.436607 7266.069358
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 894.482176 1407.143603 2081.157787 3004.712037 4208.200771 5693.966240 7635.093753
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 842.212910 1357.421259 2045.661153 3001.036963 4259.725478 5827.903545 7892.960316
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 783.344454 1295.082968 1990.144315 2968.029655 4270.949169 5909.416518 8084.381544
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 750.384712 1268.006205 1981.104284 2995.827663 4360.665540 6090.388664 8401.813876
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 709.628383 1227.289294 1951.202856 2993.639888 4409.595692 6218.578752 8652.520139
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 690.114592 1216.993024 1963.056354 3048.012582 4533.673356 6444.221688 9029.182811
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 648.039248 1170.379429 1921.361837 3026.545475 4554.663167 6535.306985 9232.943676
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 635.025345 1167.593369 1942.031843 3091.828914 4693.037343 6780.397913 9637.183436
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 608.824457 1142.853188 1929.644285 3109.620491 4766.269285 6940.024840 9931.349292
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 579.840603 1112.204607 1907.253594 3112.049573 4817.666253 7070.571009 10188.034319
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 526.960491 1040.243513 1820.667083 3019.492143 4735.121717 7020.795924 10206.262354